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A procedure for spatial aggregation of synthetic water demand time series

机译:合成水需求时间序列的空间聚合程序

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摘要

A procedure for spatial aggregation of synthetic water demand time series is presented. Starting from synthetic water demand\udtime series generated at user level and reproducing mean and variance of the corresponding observed series, the procedure\udallows the aggregated series to preserve the statistics of interest observed at the aggregation level considered. The procedure\uduses a method proposed by Iman and Conover (1982): the synthetic user water demand time series are reordered to preserve the\udobserved spatial correlations of appropriate lag-time; then, the spatial aggregation of these series leads to a series representative\udof the user group reproducing the corresponding means and variances for the different hours of the generic day. Four different\udways of performing this aggregation have been investigated and compared. Application to a case study consisting of the water\uddemands of 21 users highlights that the approaches considered show different levels of effectiveness in reproducing the\udstatistics, but overall the procedure proposed is a valid tool for the bottom-up generation of synthetic water demand time series.
机译:提出了合成需水时间序列的空间聚集过程。从用户级别生成的合成需水量\ udtime序列开始,并再现相应观测序列的均值和方差,该过程\ udallow聚合序列以保留在所考虑的聚合级别观察到的关注统计数据。该程序采用了Iman和Conover(1982)提出的方法:对合成用户用水需求时间序列进行重新排序,以保留适当滞后时间的\虚假的空间相关性;然后,这些系列的空间聚集导致用户组的系列代表\ ud在通用日的不同小时再现相应的均值和方差。已经研究和比较了执行此聚合的四种不同方式。应用于由21位用户的用水需求组成的案例研究中,强调了所考虑的方法在再现\ udstatistics方面显示出不同的有效性水平,但总体而言,所提出的程序是自下而上生成合成需水时间的有效工具系列。

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